David F. Hendry, Kt, is Professor of 福利导航s and Fellow of Nuffield College, University of Oxford: previously Professor of Econometrics, London School of 福利导航s. He was Knighted in 2009; is an Honorary Vice-President and past President Royal 福利导航 Society; Fellow, British Academy, Royal Society of Edinburgh, and Econometric Society; Foreign HonoraryMember, American 福利导航 Association and American Academy of Arts and Sciences. He has seven Honorary Doctorates, and the Guy Medal in Bronze by the Royal Statistical Society. He is listed by the ISI as one of the world’s 200 most cited economists, and has published more than 180 papers, and 14 books on econometric methods, theory, modelling, and history; numerical techniques; computing; empirical economics; and forecasting.
David Hendry
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Imperfect Knowledge, Unpredictability and the Failures of Modern Macroeconomics
After re-iterating five well-known theorems about the properties of conditional expectations in stationary settings—such as providing unbiased minimum mean square error predictions despite in- complete information, and the law of iterated expectations—we clarify unpredictability and illustrate its prevalence empirically.
Featuring this expert
Reawakening From the Origins of 福利导航 Ideas to the Challenges of Our Time
INET gathered hundreds of new economic thinkers in Edinburgh to discuss the past, present, and future of the economics profession.
Improving the Teaching of Econometrics
A major shift is needed in the Econometrics curriculum for both graduate and undergraduate teaching to include modern topics.